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Ryan Charland, CEO of Manulife Philippines |
The majority of Filipino investors are satisfied with their government
pension – but that sentiment is based on specific assumptions and a
cash-dominant approach to retirement working out, according to the
latest Manulife Investor Sentiment Index.*
Two-thirds of
respondents said that they are confident that their government pension
would be enough to meet their needs upon retirement – the highest level
of all surveyed markets. In contrast, across all surveyed markets the
proportion of confident investors was less than 40 percent, and as low
as one-in-ten in some markets.
While such optimism seems
positive, the survey shows it is based on some risky assumptions. First,
investors expect their retirement income to be relatively high, at 92%
of their current income – the highest estimate among all surveyed
markets (Asia average 69%). Second, they expect their retirement
expenses to be relatively low, at just 61 percent of their current
income, at the lower end of surveyed markets (Asia average 66%). Third,
nearly all (95%) said that in retirement they expect to rely on private
healthcare – by contrast, in every other market only a minority expected
to rely on private healthcare (Asia average 38%).
“Filipino
investors have high estimates of their retirement income. Even if these
turn out to be right, they may not be enough to cover their actual
costs,” said Ryan Charland, CEO of Manulife Philippines. “Today, people
generally expect their retirement to be active, and that means expenses
will likely be much higher than what many realize. In addition,
healthcare tends to cost a lot more than people expect. In Asia
healthcare costs have risen about twice the rate of inflation over the
past 10 years. Of course, it’s even more expensive if you go private.”
The
survey highlights that Filipino investors have a high degree of
reliance on their government pension, with only one in five owning an
additional, private pension plan. Instead, many expect to fall back on
other, less assured, largely cash-forms of income, notably savings
(which they expect to make up 37% of their retirement income) and
inheritance (12% of their retirement income) – in both cases the highest
reliance of any surveyed markets. This cash-dominant approach to
retirement is reinforced by the finding that, on receiving their
pension, Philippine investors plan to deposit nearly half into the bank,
the second-highest level of all markets (Asia average 35%).
“We
know that Filipino investors like to hold cash and are among the most
cash-heavy investors in Asia. The latest survey shows us they also plan
to be Asia’s most cash-reliant investors when retired,” said Mr.
Charland. “Keeping cash in the bank provides minimal returns, which may
not even keep up with inflation. Their retirement optimism would have a
sounder basis with a more balanced portfolio, especially given that
retirement today can last 30 years or more.”
*About Manulife Investor Sentiment Index in AsiaManulife’s
Investor Sentiment Index in Asia is a quarterly, proprietary survey
measuring and tracking investors’ views across eight markets in the
region on their attitudes towards key asset classes and related issues.
The Index is calculated as a net score (% of “Very good time” and “Good
time” minus % of “Bad time” and “Very bad time”) for each asset class.
The overall index is calculated as an average of the index figures of
asset classes. A positive number means a positive sentiment, zero means a
neutral sentiment, and a negative number means negative sentiment.
The
Manulife ISI is based on 500 online interviews in each market of Hong
Kong, China, Taiwan, Japan, and Singapore; in Malaysia, Indonesia and
the Philippines it is conducted face-to-face. Respondents are middle
class to affluent investors, aged 25 years and above who are the primary
decision maker of financial matters in the household and currently have
investment products.
The Manulife ISI is a long-established
research series in North America. The Manulife ISI has been measuring
investor sentiment in Canada for the past 15 years, and extended this to
its John Hancock operation in the U.S. in 2011. Asset classes taken
into Manulife ISI Asia calculations are stocks/equities, real estate
(primary residence and other investment properties), mutual funds/unit
trusts, fixed income investment and cash.
About ManulifeManulife
is a leading Canada-based financial services group with principal
operations in Asia, Canada and the United States. Clients look to
Manulife for strong, reliable, trustworthy and forward-thinking
solutions for their most significant financial decisions. Our
international network of employees, agents and distribution partners
offers financial protection and wealth management products and services
to millions of clients. We also provide asset management services to
institutional customers. Funds under management by Manulife and its
subsidiaries were approximately C$637 billion (US$597 billion) as at
June 30, 2014. We operate as John Hancock in the U.S. and as Manulife in
other parts of the world.
Manulife Financial Corporation trades
as ‘MFC’ on the TSX, NYSE and PSE, and under ‘945’ on the SEHK. Manulife
Financial can be found on the Internet at
manulife.com.